{"id":47634,"date":"2026-08-12T13:32:40","date_gmt":"2026-08-12T11:32:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/digpro.com\/?p=47634"},"modified":"2026-08-12T13:33:25","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T11:33:25","slug":"forecasting-from-reactive-to-proactive-grid-management","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/digpro.com\/de\/blog-de\/forecasting-from-reactive-to-proactive-grid-management\/","title":{"rendered":"Forecasting \u2013 From reactive to proactive grid management"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"47634\" class=\"elementor elementor-47634 elementor-47417\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-c717a44 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"c717a44\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-7f1e40c4\" data-id=\"7f1e40c4\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-393df650 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"393df650\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Working in a data-driven way is about understanding what has happened and being able to act in time before something happens. As power grids evolve, forecasting is becoming an increasingly important part of utility operations.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In previous parts of this series, we explored how to build a data foundation, visualize the current state of the grid, and work with KPIs. But to take the next step, from reactive to proactive management, you also need the ability to look ahead.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To understand forecasting, we need to start with the data.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There are three fundamental types:<\/span><\/p><ul><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Historical data<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u2013 shows what has happened and is used to identify patterns<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Real-time data<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u2013 describes the current state and is used to correct deviations<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Forecast data<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u2013 indicates what is likely to happen<\/span><\/li><\/ul><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">No forecast is better than the data it is built on. In practice, successful forecasting requires a combination of all three.<\/span><\/p><h2><b>Different forecasts for different decisions<\/b><\/h2><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A key insight is that forecasting is not one thing, it consists of several approaches depending on the time horizon.<\/span><\/p><h3><b>Short-term forecasting \u2013 Managing grid operations<\/b><\/h3><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the short term, forecasting is about understanding what will happen in the grid over the coming hours and days.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Using SCADA\/RTU data, smart meter data, load profiles, and weather information, forecasts can be generated up to 48\u201372 hours ahead.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This enables utilities to:<\/span><\/p><ul><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Analyze current and future load flows<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Identify risks of overloading cables and transformers<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Detect voltage deviations before they occur<\/span><\/li><\/ul><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Digpro\u2019s short-term forecasting solution also presents forecasted deviations and alarms in advance, allowing operational teams to prioritize actions based on severity and the time remaining until threshold limits are exceeded.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The result is a shift from reacting to problems to preventing them\u2014and operating closer to the grid\u2019s capacity limits in a safe and controlled manner.<\/span><\/p><h3><b>Long-term Planning \u2013 Planning the grid<\/b><\/h3><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Over longer time horizons, the focus changes.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here, forecasting is not about operations but about understanding how the grid needs to evolve over time.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">By combining project-based demand (such as new customer connections), statistical trends (such as transportation electrification), and scenarios representing high, low, and expected development, grid operators can analyze future power demand.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Digpro\u2019s long-term forecasting solution calculates how demand will evolve over several years and allocates expected load growth across different voltage levels of the network, making it possible to:<\/span><\/p><ul><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Identify future capacity constraints<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Compare alternative development scenarios<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Prioritize reinforcements and investments<\/span><\/li><\/ul><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This provides a structured, data-driven foundation for long-term grid development planning and supports both internal decision-making and regulatory requirements.<\/span><\/p><h2><b>Connecting short-term and long-term perspectives<\/b><\/h2><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The real value emerges when these perspectives are connected.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Short-term forecasts show how close you are to capacity limits today, while long-term forecasts show how quickly you are approaching those limits in the future.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Together, they provide:<\/span><\/p><ul><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Better prioritization of actions<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A shared view between operations and planning teams<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Stronger decision support for both operational and strategic decisions<\/span><\/li><\/ul><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is where forecasting evolves from analysis into actual business management and grid governance.<\/span><\/p><h2><b>Where does NIS fit in?<\/b><\/h2><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In a Network Information System (NIS) such as <\/span><b>dpPower<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, the network model, structure, and all relevant data are consolidated within the same platform. Because the network model is already established, network structures and assets are already defined, and relevant data is readily available, utilities can work efficiently with both short-term and long-term forecasting.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">With Digpro\u2019s new <\/span><b>Long-term Planning<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><b>Short-term Forecasting<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> modules in dpPower, organizations gain the tools needed to move from reactive operations and planning toward a more proactive and data-driven way of working.<\/span><\/p><h2><b>The data-driven power grid<\/b><\/h2><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Throughout this blog series, we have explored the key capabilities required to transform power grid operations from a traditional <\/span><b>DNO <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">to a modern <\/span><b>DSO<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> &#8211; from data foundations and visualization to KPIs, capacity planning, and forecasting.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Together, these capabilities create the conditions for better decision-making, more efficient use of resources, and more proactive grid management.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wherever you are on your digitalization journey, we hope this series has provided inspiration, new perspectives, and practical ideas for taking the next step toward a more data-driven power grid.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Digpro is here to support you along the way with the experience, methodology, and solutions needed to turn data into operational value.<\/span><\/p><p><b>Thank you for joining us on this journey.<\/b><\/p><ul><li aria-level=\"1\"><strong>From DNO &#8211; DSO <\/strong>\u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/digpro.com\/blog\/from-dno-to-dso-a-journey-that-requires-more-than-technology\/\">A journey that requires more than technology<\/a><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Data warehouse<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0\u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/digpro.com\/blog\/build-the-foundation-with-a-data-warehouse\/\">Building the foundation with a Data Warehouse<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Dashboards<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/digpro.com\/blog\/dashboard-a-window-into-your-operations\/\">Visualizing information with a clear purpose<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>KPIs<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0\u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/digpro.com\/blog\/kpis-for-insight-driven-management\/\">Managing by facts, not gut feeling<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Capacity planning<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0\u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/digpro.com\/blog\/capacity-planning-two-perspectives-one-shared-responsibilitycapacity-planning-two-perspectives-one-shared-responsibility\/\">Planning for both operations and development<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Forecasts<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0\u2013 Making decisions with the future in mind<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/><\/span><\/li><\/ul><h3><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/digpro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/ErlingGustafsson.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"156\" height=\"185\" \/>Meet the expert<\/h3><p>Erling Gustafsson has a solid background in the electricity industry and has supported many companies on their digitalization journeys. He is also the author of the Swedish book \u201cInnovation och utmaningar i ett nytt energisystem: En guide f\u00f6r en proaktiv eln\u00e4tverksamhet\u201d (Eng.: \u201cInnovation and Challenges in a New Energy System: A Guide for Proactive Grid Operations.\u201d)<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As power grids evolve, forecasting is becoming an increasingly important part of utility operations.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":47502,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"default","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47634","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog-de"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - 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